Derek Crawford: Sports Data Analyst

Derek Crawford

Derek Crawford is a sports data analyst for TuSportNews, with 4 years of experience in sports analytics. Based in California, he works on the site's AI prediction pages, where he helps turn match data and team trends into forecasts readers can follow and trust. He follows football across leagues worldwide. Derek's approach is to keep analysis clear, grounded and honest about uncertainty. He looks at the context around each prediction so readers understand what is behind the numbers, not just the result. Away from the screen, he enjoys writing his blog and going camping with his family.

Football Probability Basics: Expected Goals, Win Chances and Model Confidence

Derek Crawford · October 27, 2026

Understand football probability: how expected goals, win chances and model confidence work, and how to read any forecast without over-trusting it....

Two monitors showing a bar chart and a table of figures with a football on the desk between them and a stadium photograph on the wall

Odds Comparison vs AI Match Predictions: Reading Two Forecasts

Derek Crawford · October 27, 2026

Compare how betting odds and AI match predictions each forecast football results, where they agree, why they differ and how to read both side by side....

Hands holding a glass jar of coins above a printed football data sheet, with a calculator, a football and a stadium view through the window

What Is the Bookmaker Margin (Overround) and How It Works

Derek Crawford · October 26, 2026

Learn what the bookmaker margin or overround is, how to calculate it from football odds and how to strip it out of probabilities. Read the guide....

A person writing percentages in a notebook beside a calculator and a laptop showing a football match, with a football on the desk

How to Convert Odds to Implied Probability

Derek Crawford · October 26, 2026

Turn decimal, fractional and American football odds into implied probability with simple formulas, worked examples and margin-adjusted figures. Learn how....

A hand pointing at a printed table of numbers beside a calculator, a laptop showing a spreadsheet and a football on a white desk

Decimal vs Fractional vs American Odds: Conversion Guide

Derek Crawford · October 24, 2026

Convert decimal, fractional and American football odds with simple formulas, worked examples and a quick reference table. See how the maths works....

$A person holding a smartphone beside a laptop that shows colourful percentage bars, with a football and a notebook of fraction conversions on the desk$

Football Probability Basics: Expected Goals, Win Chances and Model Confidence

Odds Comparison vs AI Match Predictions: Reading Two Forecasts

What Is the Bookmaker Margin (Overround) and How It Works

How to Convert Odds to Implied Probability

Decimal vs Fractional vs American Odds: Conversion Guide

Football Odds Explained: Types, Formats and How to Read Them

How to Use AI Football Predictions to Follow Any Matchday

Are AI Football Predictions Accurate? How They Work and How to Judge Them

Derek Crawford

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